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With its high-speed train, China has achieved what seemed impossible: air travel is not profitable on a 1300 km route

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Jason Wilder

With its high-speed train, China has achieved what seemed impossible: air travel is not profitable on a 1300 km route

The rail revolution in figures

On the strategic 1,300-kilometer Beijing-Shanghai route, China’s high-speed rail system has achieved an unprecedented feat. In 2024, 52 million passengers chose rail, compared with only 8.6 million by air, generating colossal revenues of 42 billion yuan (5.4 billion euros). This exceptional performance, crowned by a net profit of 1.8 billion dollars, demonstrates the economic viability of the Chinese rail model.

A rethought passenger experience

The secret of this success lies in three fundamental pillars. First, speed, with a record journey time of 4 hours 18 minutes between the two megacities.

Secondly, connectivity, enabling passengers to stay connected at all times – a decisive advantage for professionals. Finally, comfort and convenience, with central stations and exemplary punctuality, surpassing traditional air travel.

Aviation in search of solutions

Faced with this relentless competition, Chinese airlines are trying to react. Air China and China Eastern Airlines, despite their 55 daily flights, are struggling to maintain their appeal.

Premium services and fare reductions no longer suffice in the face of rail’s advantages, particularly in terms of total journey time and ease of access.

Chinese technological excellence

The CR450AF, the flagship of the Chinese rail industry, symbolizes this technological domination. Designed for speeds of up to 450 km/h, it is currently running at 350 km/h, with plans to reach 400 km/h by 2027.

China thus confirms its position as world leader in the sector, with the most extensive TGV network in the world.

The challenges of expansion

While the Beijing-Shanghai route is a shining showcase, some domestic lines are experiencing difficulties, with insufficient load factors.

Nevertheless, on high-density routes, rail is emerging as the preferred transport solution, combining efficiency, frequency and connectivity.

Conclusion

The Chinese example demonstrates that a credible alternative to air travel is possible over medium and long distances. This success story, the fruit of massive investment and a clear strategic vision, could inspire other countries, particularly in Europe, where rail networks are still struggling to offer such a high-performance alternative to air transport.

The Chinese model redefines the standards of modern transport, combining speed, comfort and respect for the environment.

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